Sangram Krishna Nirmale

Assistant Professor, Department of Civil Engineering, IIT Bombay
Associate Faculty, IIT Bombay–FedEx ALFA

I build models of how people travel through cities: who makes which trips, when, and by which mode. My group uses them to forecast travel demand and public transport ridership, and to improve accessibility and road safety, working with agencies and industry.

Portrait of Sangram Krishna Nirmale

An activity-based model in miniature. Each dot is a synthetic resident following a full-day plan: leaving home, travelling to work, school or a market, and returning. Their mode choice depends on distance and access to the metro.

Highlighted resident's day: At home.

About

Dr. Sangram Krishna Nirmale is an Assistant Professor in the Department of Civil Engineering at the Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, and an Associate Faculty member of the IIT Bombay–FedEx Centre for Advanced Logistics and Focused Analytics (ALFA). Before joining IIT Bombay, he was a Research Scientist at the Centre for Infrastructure, Sustainable Transportation and Urban Planning (CiSTUP), Indian Institute of Science, Bengaluru.

His research develops econometric and statistical models of how people travel. His research group focuses on activity-based travel demand models, public transport ridership forecasting, accessibility and road safety, with ongoing work on freight and logistics. His PhD, on modelling driver behaviour in heterogeneous, lane-less traffic, gave him a grounding in discrete-continuous choice methods that now carries into our safety research.

If your work overlaps with mine and want to collaborate, write to me.

Experience

  • Feb 2024 – present

    Assistant Professor

    Department of Civil Engineering, IIT Bombay, Mumbai

  • Jan 2025 – present

    Associate Faculty

    IIT Bombay–FedEx Centre for Advanced Logistics and Focused Analytics (ALFA)

  • Aug 2022 – Jan 2024

    Research Scientist

    Centre for Infrastructure, Sustainable Transportation and Urban Planning (CiSTUP), IISc Bengaluru

Education

  • 2016 – 2022

    Ph.D., Transportation Engineering

    Department of Civil Engineering, Indian Institute of Science, Bengaluru

    Thesis
    Multi-vehicle anticipation-based models for describing driver behaviour in heterogeneous and disorderly traffic conditions
    Advisor
    Prof. Abdul Rawoof Pinjari
  • 2014 – 2016

    M.Tech., Urban Planning

    Department of Architecture and Planning, Visvesvaraya National Institute of Technology, Nagpur

    Thesis
    Transportation planning for improving workplace accessibility: A case of Kolhapur city
    Advisor
    Prof. Vidya Vinayak Ghuge
  • 2010 – 2014

    B.E., Civil Engineering

    Government College of Engineering, Karad

    Project
    Suitability of autoclaved aerated concrete blocks, conventional burnt bricks and hollow blocks for economical earthquake-resistant construction
    Advisor
    Prof. Madhav Kumthekar

Research

Six connected themes, from individual travel decisions to city-wide planning.

  • Activity-based travel demand modelling

    Models that simulate each resident's full day of activities and trips, built on synthetic populations, so cities can forecast demand and test policies before building.

  • Public transport ridership forecasting

    Direct demand and activity-based forecasts of bus and metro ridership, and how service reliability, such as headway variability, changes how many people ride.

  • Accessibility

    How easily people reach jobs and services, and first- and last-mile access for pedestrians and cyclists around transit stations.

  • Road safety and traffic behaviour

    Behaviour models of drivers in heterogeneous, lane-less traffic, including perception errors and anticipation of several vehicles ahead, applied to understanding risk.

  • Travel behaviour and choice modelling

    Econometric models of how people choose modes, destinations and schedules, including socio-psychological influences, using discrete-continuous and latent class frameworks.

  • Freight and logistics

    Freight movement and logistics analytics, in collaboration with the IIT Bombay–FedEx ALFA centre.

Work with us

Sponsored research and training for agencies and industry.

The models we publish are built to be used. We take on sponsored research through IIT Bombay for transport departments, transit operators, planning consultancies and companies that need rigorous, data-driven answers.

  • Travel demand forecasting

    Activity-based and trip-based demand models for cities, corridors and new projects.

  • Public transport ridership forecasting

    Station- and route-level ridership forecasts for bus and metro, and the effect of service changes.

  • Accessibility analysis

    Access to jobs and services, and first- and last-mile connectivity around transit stations.

  • Road safety analysis

    Behaviour-based analysis of risk in mixed traffic to inform safety measures.

Have a transport problem that needs data and models?

Let's discuss

Funded research projects

  • 2025 - present

    Smart Return Management: A Data-Driven Approach for Reducing E-Commerce Return Costs

    Funding
    IIT Bombay-FedEx Centre for Advanced Logistics and Focused Analytics
    Role
    Principal Investigator
    Amount
    About ₹30 lakh (₹3.0 million)
  • 2025 - present

    Advancing behavioural realism in activity-based travel demand models through socio-psychological influences and perception error modelling

    Funding
    Anusandhan National Research Foundation (ANRF), Government of India
    Role
    Principal Investigator
    Amount
    About ₹35 lakh (₹3.5 million)
  • 2024 – present

    A context-sensitive accessibility evaluation model for first- and last-mile connectivity for pedestrians and cyclists around transit stations in Mumbai

    Funding
    Green Energy and Sustainability Research Hub, IIT Bombay
    Role
    Principal Investigator
    Amount
    About ₹25 lakh (₹2.5 million)

Publications

Citations and the latest list are on Google Scholar.

Journal articles

  1. Malik N. F., Nirmale, S. K., Koushik A., and Pinjari, A. R. (2026). Modelling multimodal mode choice behaviour considering spatial variability in level of service attributes. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice , 204. doi:10.1016/j.tra.2025.104710
  2. Hasan, N., Nirmale, S. K., L. Deepa, and Pinjari, A. R. (2025). Modelling metro rail ridership at the station-and route-level: an application to analysis of metro ridership in Bengaluru, India. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 200. doi:10.1016/j.tra.2025.104638
  3. Sharma, A., Pinjari, A. R., Nirmale, S. K., and Sundaresan, R. (2024). A human factors-based modeling framework to mimic bus driver behavior. Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies, 170. doi:10.1016/j.trc.2024.104929
  4. Malik, N. F., Saxena, S., Pinjari, A. R., Gopalakrishnan, R., and Nirmale, S. K. (2024). An analysis of mode choice decisions for long-distance recreational travel in India. Transportation in Developing Economies, 10, 1–20. doi:10.1007/s40890-024-00206-0
  5. Nirmale, S. K., Pinjari, A. R., and Chakroborty, P. (2023). A two-dimensional, multi-vehicle anticipation, and multi-stimuli based latent class framework to model driver behaviour in heterogeneous, disorderly traffic conditions. Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies, 160. doi:10.1016/j.trc.2023.104458
  6. Deepa, L., Pinjari, A. R., Nirmale, S. K., Biswas, M., and Srinivasan, K. K. (2023). The adverse impact of headway variability on bus transit ridership: Evidence from Bengaluru, India. Transport Policy, 141, 343–356. doi:10.1016/j.tranpol.2023.07.026
  7. Nirmale, S. K., Sharma, A., and Pinjari, A. R. (2023). Multi-vehicle anticipation-based driver behavior models: A synthesis of existing research and future research directions. Transportation Letters. doi:10.1080/19427867.2023.2231212
  8. Nirmale, S. K., and Pinjari, A. R. (2023). Discrete choice models with multiplicative stochasticity in choice environment variables: Application to accommodating perception errors in driver behaviour models. Transportation Research Part B: Methodological. doi:10.1016/j.trb.2023.02.014
  9. Nirmale, S. K., Pinjari, A. R., and Sharma, A. (2022). A panel data-based discrete-continuous modelling framework to analyse longitudinal driver behaviour in homogeneous and heterogeneous disordered traffic conditions. Transportation Letters, 1–14. doi:10.1080/19427867.2022.2132058
  10. Deepa, L., Pinjari, A. R., Nirmale, S. K., Srinivasan, K. K., and Rambha, T. (2022). A direct demand model for bus transit ridership in Bengaluru, India. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 163, 126–147. doi:10.1016/j.tra.2022.07.004
  11. Nirmale, S. K., Pinjari, A. R., and Sharma, A. (2021). A discrete-continuous multi-vehicle anticipation model of driving behaviour in heterogeneous disordered traffic conditions. Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies, 128. doi:10.1016/j.trc.2021.103144

Under review

  1. Passenger-Oriented or Freight-Oriented? Demand-Side Evidence for Rural Integrated Passenger–Freight Transport
Conference papers, full length
  1. Hasan, N., Nirmale, S. K., and Pinjari, A. R. (2025). A direct demand model for metro transit ridership in Bengaluru, India. 104th Transportation Research Board (TRB) Annual Meeting, Washington, D.C., USA, January 2025.
  2. Feroz, M. N., Nirmale, S. K., and Pinjari, A. R. (2023). Modelling mode choice behaviour with spatial variability in level of service attributes. 7th Conference of Transportation Research Group of India (CTRG-2023).
  3. Nirmale, S. K., Pinjari, A. R., and Chakroborty, P. (2023). A two-dimensional, multi-vehicle anticipation, and multi-stimuli based latent class framework to model driver behaviour in heterogeneous disorderly traffic conditions. 102nd TRB Annual Meeting, Washington, D.C., USA, January 2023. Also presented at the 14th TPMDC, IIT Bombay, December 2022.
  4. Sharma, A., Pinjari, A. R., Sundaresan, R., and Nirmale, S. K. (2023). A human factors based modelling framework to mimic bus driver behaviour. 102nd TRB Annual Meeting, Washington, D.C., USA, January 2023.
  5. Nirmale, S. K., Pinjari, A. R., and Sharma, A. (2022). Modelling homogeneous and heterogeneous disordered traffic conditions using a discrete-continuous multi-vehicle anticipation based driving behaviour model. 101st TRB Annual Meeting, Washington, D.C., USA, January 2022.
  6. Deepa, L., Pinjari, A. R., Nirmale, S. K., Biswas, M., and Srinivasan, K. K. (2022). The adverse impact of headway variability on bus transit ridership: Evidence from Bengaluru, India. 14th Transportation Planning and Implementation Methodologies for Developing Countries (TPMDC), IIT Bombay, December 2022.
  7. Nirmale, S. K., and Pinjari, A. R. (2020). Discrete-continuous choice framework to model driver behaviour in heterogeneous traffic conditions. 12th International Conference on Communication Systems and Networks (COMSNETS), Bengaluru, January 2020.
  8. Nirmale, S. K., and Pinjari, A. R. (2020). Driver behaviour models with perception errors: A choice modelling framework with stochastic variables. 99th TRB Annual Meeting, Washington, D.C., USA, January 2020.
  9. Nirmale, S. K., Pinjari, A. R., and Munigety, C. R. (2019). A copula-based joint multinomial discrete-continuous choice framework to model driver behaviour in mixed traffic conditions. 15th World Conference on Transport Research (WCTR), IIT Bombay, Mumbai, May 2019.
  10. Nirmale, S. K., and Ghuge, V. V. (2016). Developing a Public Transport Accessibility Model (PTAM) to assess workplace accessibility in Kolhapur city, Maharashtra, India. 12th TPMDC, IIT Bombay, December 2016.
  11. Nirmale, S. K., and Ghuge, V. V. (2015). Introducing mechanism for improving transport infrastructure in Kolhapur city for achieving smart and sustainable development. National Conference on Sustainable Built Environment, IIT Roorkee, April 2015.
Conference papers, extended abstracts
  1. Nirmale, S. K., Pinjari, A. R., and Sharma, A. (2022). On the capability of random utility maximisation theory-based driver behaviour models of heterogeneous disordered traffic to reproduce the fundamental macroscopic properties of traffic flow. Traffic and Granular Flow (TGF), IIT Delhi, October 2022.
  2. Sharma, A., Pinjari, A. R., Sundaresan, R., and Nirmale, S. K. (2022). A human factors based modelling framework to mimic bus driver behaviour. Traffic and Granular Flow (TGF), IIT Delhi, October 2022.
  3. Nirmale, S. K., and Pinjari, A. R. (2019). Multi-stimuli driver behaviour models with perception errors: An integrated latent variable and discrete-continuous framework with empirical applications to heterogeneous and homogeneous traffic conditions. 6th International Choice Modelling Conference, Kobe, Japan, August 2019.
  4. Nirmale, S. K., and Pinjari, A. R. (2018). Influence zone, multi-stimuli, and two-dimensional (IZMS-2D) driving behaviour in heterogeneous traffic conditions: An econometric framework and exploratory analysis of driving behaviours in India. 15th International Conference on Travel Behaviour Research (IATBR), Santa Barbara, California, USA, July 2018.

Teaching

Courses at IIT Bombay.

Postgraduate

  • CE 780Behavioural Travel Modelling
    Spring 2025, Spring 2026
  • CE 699Transportation Systems Studio
    Spring 2025, Spring 2026

Undergraduate

  • CE 235Artificial Intelligence & Data Science
    Autumn 2025, Autumn 2026
  • CE 465Numerical Methods in Civil Engineering
    Autumn 2024, Spring 2025, Autumn 2025
  • CE 341Transportation Engineering Laboratory
    Autumn 2024

Awards and honours

  1. 2025

    Prime Minister Early Career Research Grant, Anusandhan National Research Foundation (ANRF)

  2. 2024

    Young Faculty Award, IIT Bombay

  3. 2023

    Best Thesis Award in traffic engineering, Transportation Research Group of India (TRG India)

  4. 2022

    Best Presentation Award, Sustainable Transport Planning, Policies and Emerging Technologies track, 14th TPMDC, for “The adverse impact of headway variability on bus transit ridership: Evidence from Bengaluru, India” (presenter)

  5. 2022

    Best Paper Award, 14th TPMDC, for the same paper (co-author)

  6. 2021

    Best Paper Award, Planning and Demand Modelling track, 6th CTRG, for “A direct demand model of bus transit ridership considering spatial disaggregation, demand-supply endogeneity, non-linear service response, accessibility measures, and inter-route relationships” (co-author)

  7. 2021

    COMSNETS Fellowship, International Conference on Communication Systems and Networks

  8. 2019

    Best Paper Award, Traffic Flow Analysis and Facilities Design track, 5th CTRG, for “Driver behaviour models with perception errors: A choice modelling framework with stochastic variables” (lead author)

  9. 2019

    First rank in the examination of the AICTE-sponsored short-term training programme “Modelling and Control of Traffic under Mixed Conditions”, IIT Madras, 2–7 December 2019

Team

We are looking for motivated PhD students, postdocs and interns. See openings.

PhD students

  • Portrait of Meet Tabiyar

    Meet Tabiyar

    PhD student, 2024 – present

    Research: Transit demand modelling

    M.Tech., Urban Planning, SVNIT Surat

    B.Tech., Civil Engineering, SVNIT Surat

  • Portrait of Biplab Sekhar Swain

    Biplab Sekhar Swain

    PhD student, 2024 – present

    Research: Activity-based travel demand modelling

    M.Tech., Transportation Engineering, NIT Warangal

    B.Tech., Civil Engineering, VSSUT Burla

  • Portrait of Aayush Kumar Verma

    Aayush Kumar Verma

    PhD student, 2024 – present

    Research: Driver behaviour analysis and modelling

    Co-advised with Prof. Nagendra R. Velaga

    M.Tech., Transportation Engineering, IIT Kharagpur

    B.Tech., Civil Engineering, Graphic Era University, Dehradun

  • Portrait of Aishwarya Ranjeet Shete

    Aishwarya Ranjeet Shete

    PhD student, 2025 – present

    Research: Population synthesis for activity-based travel demand models

    M.Tech., Transportation Engineering, NIT Warangal

    B.E., Civil Engineering, Prof. Ram Meghe College of Engineering, Amravati

  • Portrait of Deepanshu Soni

    Deepanshu Soni

    PhD student, 2025 – present

    Research: Freight movement optimisation

    Co-advised with Prof. Tom V. Mathew

    M.Tech., Infrastructure Systems, IIT Roorkee

    B.Tech., Civil Engineering, SKIT Jaipur

Postdoctoral fellow

  • Portrait of Dr. Mustansir Farooq

    Dr. Mustansir Farooq

    Institute Postdoctoral Fellow, 2026 – present

    Research: Airline itinerary choice, travel demand modelling and forecasting, discrete choice and econometric analysis

    PhD, IIT Delhi

    M.Tech., Transportation Engineering and Management, J.C. Bose University of Science and Technology, YMCA, Faridabad

    B.E., Civil Engineering, University of Kashmir

Project staff

  • Portrait of Satvik Chandra

    Satvik Chandra

    Project staff, 2025 – present

    Research: Software development

    MCA, Graphic Era University, Dehradun

    BCA, Graphic Era University, Dehradun

  • Portrait of Dr. Awdhesh Kumar Bind

    Dr. Awdhesh Kumar Bind

    Project staff, 2026 – present

    Research: Multi-objective optimisation, fuzzy and uncertain systems, transportation and logistics modelling, sustainable supply chains

    PhD, Dr. B. R. Ambedkar NIT Jalandhar

    M.Sc., Mathematics, University of Lucknow

    B.Sc. (Hons.), Mathematics, University of Delhi

Former members

  • Dr. Abdul AhadResearch Project Associate, August 2025 – August 2026. Now Assistant Professor, Assistant Professor at National Institute of Technology (NIT) Srinagar LinkedIn
  • Dr. Suchismita NayakInstitute Postdoctoral Fellow, Oct 2024 – May 2025. Now Assistant Professor, School of Planning and Architecture, Bhopal. LinkedIn
  • Aditya VermaM.Tech. student, 2024 – Jul 2025, co-advised with Prof. Tom V. Mathew. Now Energy Markets Analyst (Power), ICF. LinkedIn
  • Gautam KumarProject Assistant (Python developer), Jan 2025 – Jul 2025. LinkedIn

Outreach and service

Courses, invited talks and professional service.

Courses and workshops organised

  • Transportation Systems and Demand Modelling: Theory and Practice

    Three-day continuing education (CEP) short course, Department of Civil Engineering, IIT Bombay, 9–11 July 2025.

  • Workshop on OpenPaths AGENT

    Session by Gaurav Vyas, Product Manager, Bentley Systems. IIT Bombay, 5 February 2025.

  • International Workshop on Advancing Travel Demand Models Using Emerging Data Sources

    Sponsored by the Institution of Eminence (IoE), IIT Bombay. 18 November 2024.

Invited talks and lectures

  • Exploring the critical data needs for travel demand modelling in AI-enhanced transportation planning

    National Workshop on Integrating Artificial Intelligence and FinTech Solutions in Transportation and Healthcare, NIT Mizoram, Aizawl. September 2024.

  • Advanced Choice Modelling Methods with Applications in Transportation and Urban Systems

    Short course, Centre for Continuing Education, IISc Bengaluru, August 2024. Lectures on choice modelling and tutorials on model estimation in GAUSS.

  • Summer School Open Stack: Recent Advances in Urban Transportation Systems and Planning

    GISE Hub, IIT Bombay, July 2024. Lectures on mode choice and activity-based travel demand models; tutorials in R and QGIS on road networks and traffic analysis zones.

  • The crucial role of travel demand modelling in city planning

    Faculty Development Programme on Contemporary Civil Engineering, D Y Patil College of Engineering and Technology, Kolhapur, June 2024.

  • SERB High-End Workshop on Inferential Statistics and Regression Techniques for Data Analytics

    VNIT Nagpur, December 2022. Lecture on choice modelling theory and tutorials in R.

  • SPARC Workshop on Advanced Choice Modelling Methods in an Evolving Urban Travel Behaviour Landscape

    IISc Bengaluru, February 2020. Course material, theory lectures and GAUSS tutorials.

  • Discrete Choice Theory and Modelling Applications in Transportation

    IISc Bengaluru, July 2018. Tutorials on model estimation in R.

Professional service

  • Head, Scientific Committee, 15th International Conference on Transportation Planning and Implementation Methodologies for Developing Countries (TPMDC)

  • Reviewer for Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Transport Policy, Transportation Research Record, Transportation Letters and Transportation in Developing Economies

Contact

Email

sangramnirmale@iitb.ac.in

Office phone

+91-22-2576-7330

Office

Room 035, Ground Floor
Department of Civil Engineering
Indian Institute of Technology Bombay
Powai, Mumbai 400076, India